The Stock Market In 2015 Will Be A Stable And Stable Market.

The Shanghai Composite Index's trend from early to the end of the year, the high point and low point almost all take 3500 points as the axis, and the balance of the 500 points above and below, below 3000 points and the 4000 point Shanghai composite index are likely to be controlled and squeezed by two aspects.

This year, the registration system is launched as soon as possible, which is the main bargaining chip for controlling market share.

Therefore, when the Shanghai Composite Index breaks through the 4000 point interval, the intensive issuance of new shares and registration system will keep the index down.

However, when the Shanghai Composite Index falls below 3000, in order to continue the registration system and stabilize the issuance of new shares, macroeconomic regulation and control will benefit the stock market.

From the perspectives of monetary policy, economic growth, plate structure and reform of state-owned enterprises, balance and balance are the main themes.

First of all, this year's monetary policy is neither loose nor tight. It is necessary to maintain steady economic growth and not to engage in currency.

This kind of monetary policy especially prevents excessive money from flowing into the stock market.

From logical analysis, the fourth quarter of last year

The scale is unlikely to increase significantly this year, which determines that the market share is not far away.

However, the two financing and various innovations have opened the door to popularize all kinds of financing tools for investors.

Diversification determines liquidity.

Because of the downward trend in interest rates, the stock market is not short of funds this year.

Secondly, from the perspective of management's recent regulation of the contradiction between the left and right, the index level is the median one.

Last Friday, the management came out to standardize the two financial measures, which led to the terrorist crash on Monday.

That evening, the SFC's response to the 500 thousand bottom line of financing threshold was intriguing.

500 thousand, the following financing boards are required to be liquidated according to regulations, but in fact, various brokers do not have positive answers to whether they are implemented.

Nor is it clear that it must be closed.

This fear of the stock market crash and fear of rising attitude determines the attitude of regulation and control, measures will not act unilaterally, stress stability, balance is the key.

Third, the decline in economic growth and the difficulties in the real industry are also a short and balanced market share.

Many enterprises' performance decline and bank performance may not continue to grow at a high level, which determines that the market is not far away.

At the same time, the reform of state-owned enterprises is speeding up. Reorganization, backdoor, listing as a whole, and resource combination emerge in an endless stream and start in large quantities, which decides that the stock market is constantly hot, the subject matter is continuous, and the stock market wealth effect is unceasing.

As a result, there is a long way to go.

In short, the Shanghai Composite Index and the gem index rose to a higher level last year and the year before last.

The Shanghai Composite Index has gained an annual increase of 50%, and the gem has reached a new high level, which has reached an intermediate bull market level.

This year's big market index rose again, it is bound to produce a bubble of management recognition.

For the real economic downturn and the stock market bubble, management will surely regulate and rectify.

Therefore, this year is really to put aside the index, grasp stocks, seize the structural market and stock market of the plate, especially the reform of state-owned enterprises.